Lane County Market Update: Wrapping Up 2025 with Historical Perspective

As we close out 2025, the Lane County real estate market is showing classic seasonal behaviors mixed with some surprising weekly shifts. For buyers and sellers in Eugene, Springfield, and beyond, understanding these numbers is critical to planning your strategy for early 2026.

At Hybrid Real Estate, we believe in looking beyond the headlines. By combining this week’s "snapshot" data with twenty years of historical context, we can see not just where we are, but how much the landscape has shifted.

The "Right Now": December 19–25, 2025

The latest weekly statistics from RMLS reveal a market deep in holiday mode, but with strong underlying value retention.

1. The Holiday Inventory Dip

It is no surprise that activity slows down during Christmas week, but the numbers are stark.

• New Listings: Dropped to 11, a significant 72.5% decrease from the previous week.

• Pending Sales: Saw a modest dip of 9.8%, landing at 296.

• Closed Sales: Fell by 32.6% to 29 closed transactions.

What this means: If you are a buyer active right now, you are facing limited choices, but serious sellers. The "casual" listings have paused for the holidays, leaving only those who truly need to move.

2. Pricing: The Gap Between Average and Median

This week provided a perfect example of why we track both Average and Median sale prices.

• Average Sale Price: Jumped 13.2% to $525,500.

• Median Sale Price: Adjusted down slightly by 1.5% to $432,200.

When the average spikes while the median stays flat (or dips), it usually indicates that a handful of high-value luxury properties closed this week, skewing the average upward. The median price of $432,200 is a more accurate reflection of the "typical" home in Lane County right now.

3. Speed of Market

Interestingly, despite the holiday slowdown, homes that did sell moved faster.

• Time on Market: Dropped to 45 days, a 22.4% decrease from the previous week.

The "Big Picture": A 20-Year Shift in Affordability

To truly understand the value of a home in Lane County today, we have to look at where we came from. Analyzing closed sales data by price range from 2002 through the 2020s reveals a dramatic transformation in our local market inventory.

The Disappearance of the Sub-$200k Home

In the early 2000s (2002–2004), the "meat" of the market was the $100,000–$149,000 price range, which saw over 1,500 closed sales per year.

Fast forward to recent years, and that inventory has virtually evaporated. By 2021, sales in that bracket had plummeted to double digits. Today, in late 2025, finding a move-in ready detached home in Lane County under $200k is a rarity often reserved for fixer-uppers or unique property types.

The New "Normal" Price Bracket

As the lower brackets vanished, volume shifted upward. The data shows that by 2020-2021, the highest volume of sales had firmly established itself in the $350,000–$449,000 range.

This historical trend aligns perfectly with this week's data. With a current Median Sale Price of $432,200, we are seeing the continuation of a long-term trend where the mid-$400s is the new entry-level benchmark for a standard residential home in our region.

What to Watch in 2026

As we turn the calendar to January, we expect the typical "spring warm-up" to start earlier than usual.

• For Sellers: The drastic drop in new listings means competition is currently nonexistent. If you list in early January, you may be the only game in town before the spring flood of inventory arrives.

• For Buyers: The stabilizing median price suggests the market isn't spiraling, but the floor has been raised. Waiting for prices to return to 2015 levels is not a viable strategy.

Ready to make your move? Whether you are looking to buy your first home or sell an investment property, you need a strategy based on data, not guesswork. Contact a Hybrid Real Estate Broker today to get a customized market analysis for your neighborhood.

Data Source: RMLS statistics for Lane County, Oregon. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.